Climate

Proof of God’s Existence

September 14, 2011
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Atheists always ask for proof of God’s existence. Some wonder if God has a sense of humour. I figure humanity should be enough proof for the latter. But what of the former? Well, I give you “The Gore Effect”. It seems that every time that Al Gore speaks in a public forum about Global Warming excessively frigid weather arrives. He is to speak in the US midwest tomorrow (I believe). The temperature forecast is 20F. Obviously, unseasonably cold. It may even snow — it’s snowing in Colorado, in fact. The curious can enjoy a weather report here. So, there you go. Proof there is a God. Proof he has a sense of humour. What more can atheists ask for?

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Climategate

December 8, 2009
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I’m reading the to-and-fro and what’s shocking from the AGW proponent camp is this fixation that “there is no conspiracy”. That’s not the point of what seems to be evident in the emails and source code. What seems to be the problem is that science was corrupted. Science requires openness to both the theories and the data. If new data comes to light that contradicts a given theory then the theory must be modified. Same holds for any given model. If data suddenly shows the model to be faulty, the model needs to be reworked. That’s just good science. A lot of the noise going back and forth can be resolved if both sides would just come the realization and agreement that what we need is a neutral body to simply store all the data, all the algorithms, all the models, etc. That way no one is ever going to be pestered with access to information requests and anyone who wishes to use the data and software can and if they feel there’s something worthy of publication it can be so presented.I do note some on both sides of the argument are already espousing a fully open structure. This is

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East Anglia Hack

November 23, 2009
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As a security guy I’ve been pinged by the news about the East Anglia hack, the one about the climate site that was hacked with a slew of emails, data, and code swiped. Whenever something like this happens people wonder if it can happen to their site. Of course, the answer is yes. But we don’t have the full context of the hack. Was it really a hack or was it an inside job? There’s a big difference. An inside job doesn’t necessarily require actually breaking into the system while a proper, outside hack does. Until we find out what actually transpired we won’t know if the systems were truly compromised or not. Unfortunately, if the hack was well executed it might be very difficult to tell if it was an inside job or an outside hack. Such is the problem with modern computer systems and the complexity that arises from their high interconnectedness. All that said, there is another issue: the data that was taken. Leaving aside the legality of whether or not the data should have been released publicly or not, either via this supposed breach or via an FOI, the fact is that it has raised the

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The Science is Settled

August 27, 2009
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When someone tells you “the science is settled” realize they’re neither a scientist nor right. Need proof? Read this. Astrophysicists are having a hell of a time dealing with an odd planet and the repercussions to orbital mechanics, something many would have figured was “settled” over the past 400 years. So next time someone tries to baffle you with the “science is settled” bullshit statement ignore them. Science is never settled. It’s a journey of discovery. If someone claims it’s settled there’s invariably a political motive behind it, not a scientific one. And science and scientists are never afraid of a good debate. Skeptics are welcome, since they keep us scientists on our toes — in fact  a good scientist should be the most skeptical about his or her own work. Indeed, all good scientists should always be skeptical. It’s the nature of the business. Plus, what is proposed by a skeptic may well turn out to be true. One doesn’t need to dig deep in the annals of science to discover a lot of non-conformist science was, indeed, the most accurate theory to describe the facts. In the past century plate tectonics comes immediately to mind, for example.

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We made the New York Times!

March 31, 2008
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We made the New York Times!

Well, for all those out there wondering what it’s like in Ottawa wonder no more. The New York Times decided to write up on our little “Winter from Hell”. Gotta love the picture of Luc Guertin, though, and his 18+ft snow wall . Tons of Snow Test a Place Where Cold is No Stranger (registration, free, required) To enjoy a shot of our neighbourhood, here’s what it looks like after the recent melt off! Those banks are about 10ft high, they used to be about 14′ high but it’s been raining today and reasonably mild the last couple of weeks. And during that storm in early March — this was halfway through, with another 20+cm on its way.

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Records. But not ones I wanted to see broken

March 6, 2008
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Records. But not ones I wanted to see broken

I lived through the winter of 1970-71. It was something else. 444 cm of snow — that’s more than 14.5 feet! — fell that winter. I remember shoveling and shoveling and shoveling. And just when you thought not another flake could fall, more would fall. Well, this winter is now officially the second most snowy of all time. We’ve now had 355cm or more than 11.5 feet. And Environment Canada tells us that March usually accounts for 20% of our snowfall! Last night we had nearly 30cm, another record — we’ve had a lot this winter. If we’re expecting to see a “normal” March that means we’ll have another 50cm to look forward to. Think that’s nuts? Well, Environment Canada has said we’re looking at a week or so of snow, perhaps another 25 – 30cm before the middle of next week. And that won’t even put us 1/2 way through the month! Another 50cm would push us over 4 metres! Nuts. Last year we had nearly no snow, just over a metre if memory serves. This year we may have 4 times as much as last year, and well more than a normal winter that sees about 2.5 metres.

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Midwest US Ice Storm

December 12, 2007
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Midwest US Ice Storm

I feel for the folks in the US Midwest. This storm has dropped between 0.5cm to 2.5 cm of ice causing general havoc. We went through The Ice Storm of 1998 which is considered the worst ice storm in recent history — dumping 5-7 times as much ice as the Midwest is experiencing. Some folks were without power for weeks and the cleanup took months, if not years. You can still see the damage from that storm 10 years later! So, for the sake of Midwesterners suffering through their storm, I hope it abates soon. A beautiful natural disaster to be sure. But still an unpleasant one to live through.

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Musings

A blog of my musings. Some folks find it interesting and so I continue. Hopefully it will remain fairly interesting. At worst, it'll keep me writing orthogonally to my day job.

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